Monday, March 29, 2010

Hoo-whaa


Bring me my bow of burning gold
Bring me my arrows of desire
Bring me my spears O! clouds unfold
Bring me my chariot of fire

- William Blake

Monday, March 22, 2010

Water World


Addendum to previous post. Ironic that population densities are greatest in some of the most water-scarce areas.




PLUS: He who has water will command power in the coming decades.




Saturday, March 20, 2010

It All Boils Down to Water


Beijing is yellow - with dust. The annual spring sandstorm ritual is particularly bad this year, blanketing entire provinces from the Western interior through to the Southeast. Standard stuff.

But one thing in particular drew my attention:

The sandstorms underline the environmental degradation investors identify as one of the long-term constraints on growth...

The government has spent millions of dollars on projects to rein in the spread of deserts, planting trees and trying to protect what plant cover remains in marginal areas.

But the battle is being fought against a backdrop of rising average temperatures and increasing pressure on water resources after three decades of booming growth.


I am not a firm believer in Anthropomorphic Global Climate Change*. But I do believe Earth's resources are becoming strained. And China's confrontation with reality will be epic due to both its massive population and heretofore utter disregard for environmental concerns.

Their deserts are growing because folks are cutting down trees and sucking water out of ever-deeper wells. Meanwhile, industries and individuals alike are polluting rivers and streams with waste, fertilizer runoff, and toxic debris.

Look, I'm not one to criticize. The US has it's own issues with oil. But very simply, clean drinking water just isn't a priority for the Chinese. If it were, you could drink tap water in the nation's capital (municipal pop. 17.5 million). Or Shanghai (14 million). Or Chongquing (31.4 million) Or Chengdu (11 million). Or Jilin (4.5 million). Or Datong (3.1 million). Or Fushun (1.2 million).

Never piss in your own well. It'll cause you big problems.

Beware that bailout.

++++++++++

* Somewhere, George Carlin is smiling. He once did a very funny bit about how simple terms get increasingly complex so as to conceal truth.

For instance, 'Shell shock' -- two simple syllables that convey everything -- became 'battle fatigue' (4 syllables) and then 'Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder' (8 syllables). Or, the CIA doesn't kill people anymore, they 'depopulate the area'.

Now, 'global warming' became 'global climate change' and has become 'anthropomorphic global climate change'. A net 6-syllable gain.

And fuzzier than ever.

++++++++++

Oh, here's the video...


Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Pots and Kettles and Name Calling, oh my!


It's been a while since I really railed on the world. Let's see how this one goes over.

Now this blog has contained a good deal of commentary and analysis on the global financial crisis (GFC for you anagram-philes out there). I remain critical of current U.S. policy and its vacuous leadership. But overall, the red, white & blue will extricate itself from the situation better than many.

Part of this is due to the fact Americans are bitchy moaners who drag every disagreement into the public realm for endless debate on legitimacy of opposing facts and courses of action. This heart-on-sleeve style can lead to Chicken Little demagoguery on subjects real (health care policy) and imagined (anthropomorphic global climate change).

But the facts sort themselves out in the bright spotlight. And John Q. Public's voice is ultimately heard by leaders in D.C. who courageously follow polls toward a path of wisdom.

Back to the GFC and the rest of the world. Lately we have the crisis in Greece destabilizing the Euro to the point of potential dissolution. Their situation is bad. It screams for austerity and outside relief.

Unfortunately, Greek public service unions refuse to consider pay cuts, benefit reductions, or the possibility of retiring later than 58 years old. Creditor nations like Germany (where retirement is age 67) are loathe to use their taxes to support such profligacy and death-grip clutching at straws. It recently came to light the Greek government got Goldman Sachs to create off-book debt to make it look solvent...and be able to get more loans. Not seeing the incentive to help here.

Worse, whatever the EU's response, it only sets precedent for the rest of the porky PIGS -- Portugal, Italy and Spain -- all larded up on public debt, out-sized welfare systems, and unsustainable demographics. These dynamics -- rich state-poor state / many lazy sods-few hard workers / beggar-borrower-king / old-older-really really old -- threaten to tear EMU to shreds. I still haven't gotten that apology, Klaus. You either Jean-Claude.

And then there's China. The big, bad, fire-breathing dragon getting more belligerent in response to decayed U.S. finances. As if it had nothing to do with our situation. True, they support our finances by buying all our debt. But they were the ones who led us (willingly) down to Hell.

China is like a crack dealer who first entices a smart but malleable 7th grader with a free "taste" of unbounded pleasure and a life free of worry, then hooks him in and watches the kid waste from A-student into gutter-dwelling wretch.

So to is it with China's exports to the USA -- all made possible by a captive, inexpensive workforce uninsured by legal, health, safety or retirement protections -- and an artificially devalued currency. At first their stuff is free. Then it's cheap. After awhile, addiction takes hold and the cost to the user -- physically as well as financially --becomes impossible to maintain.

But in the case of a drug dealer he can always, uh, cultivate new clientele. China has no such option. It has built its mammoth enterprise on a single, very large addict. He goes down, you go down. Bad business strategy, Wang.

To top off that situation, it turns out that China has a burgeoning public debt problem of its own. See, somewhat counter intuitively, all those dollars flowing into the country over these many years simply encouraged the provinces and municipalities to bet on the come, err, take loans in which to invest in infrastructure, plant, and equipment. New loans are being taken to invest in rising property values, further pumping up property values.

Any of this sound familiar?

So now the prediction is China will have a debt crisis of its own within a couple years!

Then we'll begin to see how those millions of unemployed young men, spoiled as "little princes" growing up, without girls to marry handle the servitude into which they've been born in tacit exchange for an ever rising standard of living. Or how the sclerotic Communist government controls a huge & pissed off citizenry in the age of instant information. Damocles is no doubt still smiling...

No one in any of these situations should point anywhere other than their nearest mirror.

Except me.

Have a nice day.

Feel the Weight


Here's a pretty crazy story about that big Chilean earthquake last week. It shifted the Earth's axis by about 3 inches and "permanently" shortened the day by 6.8 milliseconds!

Says the article, it's akin to a spinning figure skater. Pulling in her arms makes her go faster.

Which makes me wonder, if the Earth is now spinning faster wouldn't that increase gravity as well? And does the change in axis make us all more unbalanced? Perhaps a downward-to-the-left pull?

Who needs drugs when there's nature?...

________

P.S. Quote of the story: "What definitely the earthquake has done is made the Earth ring like a bell." Kinda like Jaromir Jagr below...